Thursday, March 17, 2011

My Final Bracket




















 I have a final 4 of Ohio State, Texas, Kansas, and Wisconsin

I could also see Notre Dame, Duke, Pittsburgh, Kentucky, Purdue or San Diego State making it but in the end you have to pick one team. I've also compiled a list of the most underrated and overrated teams. Enjoy and good luck!

Underrated    

Belmont    8
- Too bad for them they have to play Wisconsin who is also underrated the first round
Utah State    7
 -Don't know much about them
Clemson    5
 -Bah they already lost
Illinois    4
-they also have to play an underrated team UNLV
Marquette    4
-they'll probably run into a pretty good Syracuse team early
Wisconsin    3
- I think they go furthur than their seed
Washington    3
 - I really like this team. I love Justin Holiday.
Gonzaga    3
 - Does anybody else remember the Gophers cheating scandal and their first big run?
Missouri    3
Texas    2
 -They have to face Duke very early. I think this could be tough as Irving is pretty good.
Kentucky    2
-just squeeked by princeton
George Mason    2
UNLV    1

Overrated

Pittsburgh    -1
-haven't had chance to see them yet
San Diego State    -1
-I think they could go far but they'll have to face either Texas/Duke and I think they lose there
West Virginia    -1
Villanova    -1
Michigan State    -1
North Carolina    -2
-I think Barnes is overrated but I didn't notice that they were playing the game against washington in north carolina. That changes things. Knowing that I'd have picked NC
Florida    -2
-It think they have the easiest draw of any team so I still picked them to advance
Connecticut    -2
Arizona    -2
Williams is good but can his teammates help?
Georgetown    -2
Michigan    -2
Xavier    -3
I think
Temple    -3
Old Dominion    -3
Florida State    -3
UAB    -3
Kansas State    -4
-wrong about this one at the moment. Still time but not loking good
Texas A&M    -4
Butler    -4
-it was close between butler/Old dominion. They were both overrated playing each other
Tennessee    -4
Georgia    -5
St. John's    -7
-losing pretty badly to gonzaga as I write this
UCLA    -8























































Sunday, March 13, 2011

NCAA Basketball rankings 2011



POS+PTS/pos score
1
Ohio State
36.72
2
Duke
32.63
3
Kansas
32.26
4
Wisconsin
29.77
5
Pittsburgh
29.39
6
Texas
28.25
7
Notre Dame
28.14
8
Kentucky
27.81
9
Purdue
27.77
10
San Diego State
27.75
11
Brigham Young
26.84
12
Syracuse
25.56
13
North Carolina
24.79
14
Louisville
24.78
15
Washington
24.48
16
Florida
23.79
17
Connecticut
23.7
18
Utah State
22.38
19
Belmont
22.18
20
Illinois
21.33
21
West Virginia
21.23
22
Cincinnati
20.79
23
George Mason
20.09
24
Villanova
19.99
25
UNLV
19.92
26
Arizona
19.81
27
Marquette
19.38
28
Clemson
19.27
29
Vanderbilt
19.11
30
Gonzaga
19.09
31
Missouri
18.88
32
Georgetown
18.63
33
Kansas State
18.42
34
Virginia Tech
18.25
35
Xavier
18.09
36
Maryland
17.91
37
Temple
17.8
38
Michigan
17.39
39
Saint Mary's
17.27
40
Penn State
17.09
41
Texas A&M
16.94
42
New Mexico
16.67
43
Colorado
16.66
44
Michigan State
16.5
45
USC
16.28
46
Richmond
16.23
47
Old Dominion
15.75
48
Butler
15.54
49
Florida State
15.22
50
Washington State
15.07
51
Tennessee
14.88
52
St. John's
14.76
53
Northwestern
14.75
54
Nebraska
14.7
55
Iona
14.41
56
Alabama
14.4
57
UCLA
14.25
58
Georgia
14.06
59
UAB
13.87
60
Wichita State
13.67
61
Minnesota
13.63
62
Seton Hall
13.34
63
Boston College
13.15
64
Duquesne
12.89
65
Oakland
12.65
66
California
11.94
67
Mississippi
11.43
68
Southern Miss
11.36
69
Texas Tech
11.31
70
Cleveland State
11.2
71
Miami (OH)
10.86
72
Boise State
10.46
73
Rutgers
10.44
74
Colorado State
10.41
75
Harvard
10.16
76
Baylor
10.04
77
Iowa State
10.02
78
Missouri State
10.01
79
Oklahoma State
9.8
80
Marshall
9.5


I updated my rankings with new data(as of march 12th) and simplified the model a bit coming up with just one rating that weights a teams points per possession offense and defense differential in addition to the possessions they gain above average, translated back into what an average possession is worth in points. So stated simply the bigger the number you attain the better. I plan to post  my completed bracket later this week along with some thoughts about the coaches ratings vs my ratings and the impact of losses of games versus that of possessions over a season.